The place to find our latest market insights, financial planning tips and media appearances.
Backyard Barbeque Indicator
This is what it feels like to be an investment advisor. At times a GOAT...........other times just a plain goat.Our friends and partners at Dorsey Wright NASDAQ have run this piece from time to time over the years. A humorous twist on...Read More
The Sky Isn't Falling
While news headlines are overwhelmingly negative, there are a lot of positive signals on display throughout the economy and stock market. From breakout price positions of the NASDAQ, to falling home sale numbers, we look at some positives.Read More
A Mixed Market Picture Suggests No Cause for Alarm
We see little cause for alarm in the market's technical picture overall, that picture is not nearly as clear today as it was at the October lows. Sometimes that is simply the case.Read More
Sell in May and Go Away? Not Anymore
Remarkably, the returns of this "negative" timeframe are virtually identical to the supposedly favored period: the S&P has returned 137% while the Q's returned 272%, just like the positive months!Read More
Cooler CPI Reading Means Higher Gold? Doubtful.
Yesterday's CPI print continues to portray a picture of moderating inflation and increasing calls for the Federal Reserve to pause, perhaps as early as next month’s meeting.Such a backdrop should be great for higher gold prices,...Read More
Sports, Inflation, and Other Things We Can't Control
Unrelenting and uncontrollable anxiety. Drastic mood changes. Inability to focus. Peaks of bliss and valleys of anger and defeat. Boston sports fans know what comes with the role of watching their favorite team’s journey...Read More
We know the difficulty today of being in the Prediction Business, as economists and stock analysts are squarely in this business. The Prediction business is fraught with over-optimism and over-pessimism. Is it a tough job? YesWhen it...Read More
Slow and Steady Wins the Race
Being realistic in a world where everyone has an opinion, and everyone’s opinion is in your face (via social media) is an important skill.Read More
5% Pullback & Option Trading Myth Redux
As the anxiety from the Silicon Valley Bank crisis took hold in early March, that pullback started. What we've seen since is healthy market action and adds an important part of our chart analysis……. A higher bottom.Read More
Check the (Fed's) Pressure Gauge
In the last 40 years, when the 2-year UST fell beneath the Fed Funds Rate by 50 basis points or more, the Fed has cut interest rates within 1 year.Read More
Playing the Piano with Both Hands
Those investors who followed the fundamental analysis alone alone (or worse, blindly followed the recommendations of Wall Street’s analysts) got a very nasty surprise. Good technical analysis could have alerted them something was wrong.Read More
The 5% Pullback
We feel a 5% pullback during this in-between period resulting in an intermediate, higher bottom from October is increasingly likely.Read More
After-Hours Trading: Am I Missing Out?
We occasionally are asked about after-hours trading, which are hours outside of the normal stock exchange hours of 9:30am - 4:00pm EST for buying and selling securities. Long story short: there's no advantage vs. buy and hold.Read More
GW in the News: Stocks, Dollar Rally on Strong Data
NEW YORK, Feb 15 (Reuters) - The S&P 500 gave up earlier losses on Wednesday while the dollar was rising along with U.S. Treasury yields after data showed U.S. retail sales in January increased by the most in nearly two years,...Read More
U.S. Dollar: Headwinds or Tailwinds?
The action of the US dollar can have major implications on both a strategic level (the economy) and a tactical level (such as a “tactical” investment strategy). For this simple reason, we find it prudent to consider...Read More
HI-LO Index Highlight
Liz Ann Sonders from Charles Schwab recently pointed out, market breadth, or the number of stocks participating in this year recovery is broadening and increasing.What does the data say?Looking under the microscope we see an expanding...Read More
Growth vs. Value: Has the Baton Been Passed?
After a long stretch where growth investors were richly rewarded and value investors took their position in the rear, late 2021 saw a shift. In the market drawdown of 2022, value investors jumped ahead…..and saw much less decline...Read More
Eat the Apple
An apple a day keeps the doctor away.This isn’t literally true, and the real lesson is in the strategic view of what happens over time. The apple represents something good for you. The day refers to the consistency of which the...Read More
Beware this Options Trading Myth
A common stock market concept says that the week of monthly options expiration often sees increased volatility, and whichever way the market moves during expiration week will be unwound the following week. Is it true?Read More
2023 Update to the Santa Claus Rally & January Effect
We define the Santa Claus rally period of December 15th to January 15th. Traditionalists consider the Santa Rally Period December 15th to December 31st. In our blog post of December 14th ("Santa Claus Rally & The January Effect"), we...Read More
If Not Now, When?
When the markets are piping hot, much like they were for the second half of 2020, investing feels like such an easy endeavor. When the markets cool to levels where growth is hard to find, investing seems much more bleak - and 2022...Read More
Trading Patterns I've Observed in 39 Years in the Business
We get asked quite a bit…..Is this the bottom or a bottom? Given the dreadful performance of all asset classes in 2022 it's a question investors are asking themselves.I felt confident in my call that the October 14th bottom would...Read More
Death and Taxes... and Pessimism
JANUARY 4, 2023 BEHAVIORAL FINANCECOLLEGE PLANNINGGEN ZINVESTMENTINVESTMENT MANAGEMENTMILLENIALSMONEY MINDSETPERSONAL FINANCE“In this world nothing can be said to be certain, except death and taxes,” -Benjamin...Read More
Santa Claus Rally & The January Effect
DECEMBER 14, 2022 INSIGHTSINVESTMENTINVESTMENT MANAGEMENTMARKET HISTORYTECHNICAL INSIGHTSWe believe the rally will arrive this year, but with a caveat. Expect this to be more prominent for small caps.The period between...Read More
Is A Major Shift Coming in Asset Classes?
DECEMBER 8, 2022 INSIGHTSINVESTMENTTECHNICAL INSIGHTSWe have monthly Investment Policy Committee Meetings to discuss the changes that take place in the markets. Fundamental and technical factors are on the agenda. We want to...Read More
Stocks' Reaction to Earnings
How has the earnings season gone? But, more importantly, how have stocks reacted to those earnings releases? Going into earnings, investors had great concerns about the 3rd quarter, as well as forward earnings visibility.Historically,...Read More
Retirement Contribution Eligibility & Guidelines for 2022
NOVEMBER 15, 2022 GEN ZINVESTMENTMILLENIALSPERSONAL FINANCERETIREMENT FUNDINGAs we approach the end of the calendar year, we want to remind you of the guidelines for contributing to your retirement account(s) for 2022.The...Read More
Investment Strategies: Sector Rotation
NOVEMBER 10, 2022 INSIGHTSINVESTMENTINVESTMENT MANAGEMENTSector rotation is an investment strategy revolving around the movement of money between various industry categories of the markets, such as technology, financial...Read More
Midterm Elections: Does History Tell Us What's Next?
Today is election day, and that always comes paired with unrelenting news platforms blasting forecasts and results in your face for days leading up to the election, and weeks afterwards as well. What also comes along with midterm...Read More
Through the Windshield, or the Rearview?
NOVEMBER 1, 2022 EARNINGS SEASONINSIGHTSINVESTMENTINVESTMENT MANAGEMENTMARKET HISTORYTECHNICAL INSIGHTSShort-term indicators are pointing investors to look through the windshield. We believe this is an early signal...Read More
Your Grass is Greener Than You Think
OCTOBER 28, 2022 BEHAVIORAL FINANCEINVESTMENTMONEY MINDSETPERSONAL FINANCERETIREMENT FUNDINGIt was 97 degrees and the humidity must have been sitting above 90% the entire week. It was the middle of North Carolina in the...Read More
Nervous? Perfect - Time to Do Some Buying!
OCTOBER 19, 2022 INSIGHTSINVESTMENTINVESTMENT MANAGEMENTRaging inflation, war in Europe and an economy teetering on the brink of recession – what a beautiful time to look for a stock market bottom!We all know that we...Read More
Every Storm Runs Out of Rain
OCTOBER 14, 2022 INSIGHTSINVESTMENTINVESTMENT MANAGEMENTRETIREMENT FUNDINGCertainly you’ve seen some of the aftermath of Hurricane Ian somewhere in the news. Astounding to see the damage caused, right? After hitting...Read More
The Do's and Don'ts of Market Crashes - by Barry Ritholtz
Some advice is timeless. I'd argue the best advice in life is timeless. This blog post from January 2016 is a great reminder that while time changes, some things stay the same. Enjoy this piece from our friend at Ritholtz Wealth...Read More
2022 Contribution Limits
Preparing for retirement just got a little more financial wiggle room. The Internal Revenue Service (IRS) announced new contribution limits for 2022.Staying put for 2022 are traditional Individual Retirement Accounts (IRAs), with the...Read More
Investment Strategy: Financial Market Basics
When it comes to investing, the common terminology says that you're investing in "the markets" or Wall Street. But what do these terms mean, and how are markets defined?Simply put, financial markets are where traders and investors buy...Read More
Risk Management: Modern Portfolio & Behavioral Finance Theory
Investing strategies consist of a few different types of financial theories. This article examines two popular theories you may have heard of: modern portfolio and behavioral finance theory.Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT)Modern portfolio...Read More
Retirement Strategy: Preparing to Retire Early
Do you dream of retiring before you turn 60? How about before you turn 50? If so, you might want to think twice before you make the move. If your heart is set on leaving work early, be sure you leave with the right mindset and the...Read More
8 Step Summer Financial Checkup
It seems like when summertime hits, time slows down. The hustle and bustle of the holiday season is over, the taxes are complete and the vacation days are scheduled. If you find yourself with a bit of extra time on your hands in the...Read More
Does it Pay to Buy Travel Insurance for Your Summer Trip?
With summer quickly approaching, you could be asking yourself which expenses are worth the investment when planning ahead for your vacations. Especially when it comes to travel insurance, you want to make sure you’re not...Read More
Sorry, No Crystal Ball Here...
We certainly could use a crystal ball right about now, but that’s not how this works. We aren’t in the business of predicting the future. We are, however, in the business of making the best decisions possible with the most...Read More